Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMV76329
Pomme de Douche - Non spécifié - Double Fonction - Design Moderne - Économie d'Eau - Résistante à la Corrosion
longtail
3P
SANITAIRE - PLOMBERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-88.9%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
12
≈ 5.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAMV76329
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 116 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pomme de Douche - Non spécifié - Double Fonction - Design Moderne - Économie d'Eau - Résistante à la Corrosion · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 116.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |