Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMV56007
CHRISTELLE PARIS - Detoxifiant Minceur Brûle Graisse - GUARANA -gélules- halal certifié ONSSA
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
1,001
≈ 447.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-12
AAAMV56007
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 115 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHRISTELLE PARIS - Detoxifiant Minceur Brûle Graisse - GUARANA -gélules- halal certifié ONSSA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 1001 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |