Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMV54667
Éponges à Poudre , Lot de 3 Houppettes Velours Triangulaire originaux .Couleurs Aléatoires.
midtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 28.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+66.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
116
≈ 27.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMV54667
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 123 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Éponges à Poudre , Lot de 3 Houppettes Velours Triangulaire originaux .Couleurs Aléatoires. · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -28.6% · on-hand 116 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (560 days of history, 244 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 123.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |