Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMT35533
Cire coiffante Bandido Fiber Wax pour une fixation forte et une finition brillante - 125ml
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
16
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 54
avg of last 15 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMT35533
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cire coiffante Bandido Fiber Wax pour une fixation forte et une finition brillante - 125ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 16 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |