Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Pack 3 jeux de société : jenga, bingo puissance 4, cartes uno
SKU · AAAMS50418

Pack 3 jeux de société : jenga, bingo puissance 4, cartes uno

longtail 3P JEUX DE SOCIETE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 70.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

6
≈ 3.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 69
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAAMS50418

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack 3 jeux de société : jenga, bingo puissance 4, cartes uno · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -70.0% · on-hand 6 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (539 days of history, 107 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 20 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)72.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.0K