Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMS49998
Jeu de cartes UNO Flip : une nouvelle version du jeu classique avec des cartes recto verso
longtail
3P
JEUX DE SOCIETE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 18.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+30.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
67
≈ 25.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 21
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMS49998
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 133 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Jeu de cartes UNO Flip : une nouvelle version du jeu classique avec des cartes recto verso · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -18.8% · on-hand 67 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (567 days of history, 185 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 47.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 46.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 133.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |