Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMS49998
Jeu de cartes UNO Flip : une nouvelle version du jeu classique avec des cartes recto verso
longtail
3P
JEUX DE SOCIETE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
555
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-26
AAAMS49998
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 182 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Jeu de cartes UNO Flip : une nouvelle version du jeu classique avec des cartes recto verso · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 555 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (651 days of history, 200 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 78.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 181.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |