Demand Forecast

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Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard
SKU · AAAMS49966

Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard

longtail 3P JEUX DE SOCIETE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

64
≈ 31.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30

AAAMS49966

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 116 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 64 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)116.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.1K