Demand Forecast

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Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard
SKU · AAAMS49966

Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard

longtail 3P JEUX DE SOCIETE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

62
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-27

AAAMS49966

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Cartes Flash Parlantes – Jouet Éducatif d’Apprentissage des Mots – 224 Mots avec Prononciation Américaine Standard · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 62 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, 78 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks7.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months26.9 units
Optimistic — next week3.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)16.0 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)60.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.1K