Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAMR67239
Lecteur / graveur de CD /DVD externe avec interface USB3.0 / TYPE C compatible avec MacBook Air iMac Windows et ordinateur portable
longtail
3P
STOCKAGE EXTERNE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 216
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-29
AAAMR67239
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 44 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lecteur / graveur de CD /DVD externe avec interface USB3.0 / TYPE C compatible avec MacBook Air iMac Windows et ordinateur portable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 44.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.6K |