Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMQ34289
Couteau okapi à lame verrouillable 24 cm - modèle lune & étoiles - afrique du sud
midtail
3P
OUTIL A MAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
94
▲ 74.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+3033.3%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
9
≈ 1.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAMQ34289
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 200 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Couteau okapi à lame verrouillable 24 cm - modèle lune & étoiles - afrique du sud · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 94 units, trending up +74.1% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (553 days of history, 390 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.53 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 94 units · prev 4w = 54 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 14.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 39.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 70.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 89.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 199.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |