Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMQ34072
Meuble à chaussures vertical 5 niveaux porte d'entrée
longtail
3P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 88.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-80.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
26
≈ 13.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMQ34072
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Meuble à chaussures vertical 5 niveaux porte d'entrée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -88.9% · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (462 days of history, 115 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.4K |