Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMQ24881
Support de téléphone de bureau en alliage d'aluminium,rotatif à 360°
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
689
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAAMQ24881
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support de téléphone de bureau en alliage d'aluminium,rotatif à 360° · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 689 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (616 days of history, 71 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.68 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.0K |