Demand Forecast

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Kit de 8 douilles de décoration pour gâteau
SKU · AAAMQ16537

Kit de 8 douilles de décoration pour gâteau

longtail 3P USTENSILES PATISSERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Offer Stock

2,996
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 16
avg of last 22 sells · latest 2026-02-13

AAAMQ16537

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Kit de 8 douilles de décoration pour gâteau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 2996 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months15.9 units
Optimistic — next week2.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.2 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)53.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 831