Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMQ16481
Ruban de mesure fitness corps rétractable
longtail
3P
OUTIL DE MESURE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
36
≈ 35.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 23 sells · latest 2026-04-15
AAAMQ16481
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 206 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ruban de mesure fitness corps rétractable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 36 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (574 days of history, 69 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 3.29 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 205.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.1K |