Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMK01588
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS
midtail
1P + 3P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 70.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
337
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
187
≈ 36.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 47
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-23
AAAMK01588
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 149 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -70.0% · on-hand 187 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (616 days of history, 331 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 59.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 148.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |