Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMK01588
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS
midtail
1P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▼ 46.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
137
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
137
≈ 27.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAMK01588
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 253 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending down -46.9% · on-hand 137 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (686 days of history, 307 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 32 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 89.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 55.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 253.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.6K |