Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMK01588
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS
midtail
1P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
30
≈ 5.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMK01588
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Thermos Isotherme en Acier Inoxydable 350ml Chaud/Froid KENZ/LUXUS · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (567 days of history, 338 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 110.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |