Demand Forecast

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SAVON - DURU - BODY CARE MILK - 150G - Enrichi en lait - Hydratant - Doux pour la peau
SKU · AAAMG79215

SAVON - DURU - BODY CARE MILK - 150G - Enrichi en lait - Hydratant - Doux pour la peau

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 5
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

AAAMG79215

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

SAVON - DURU - BODY CARE MILK - 150G - Enrichi en lait - Hydratant - Doux pour la peau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (560 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)18.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)59.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 309