Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMG75243-0001
Ballon de foot - MARQUE - Taille 5 - 350g - Bleu et Rouge - Mixte
longtail
1P
FOOTBALL
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
22
▲ 633.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-04-28
AAAMG75243-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ballon de foot - MARQUE - Taille 5 - 350g - Bleu et Rouge - Mixte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending up +633.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 53 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.38 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |