Demand Forecast

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Derma Roller - GENERIC - 0.5 mm - Stimule Repousse Cheveux - Pousse Barbe - 540 Aiguilles
SKU · AAAMG43083

Derma Roller - GENERIC - 0.5 mm - Stimule Repousse Cheveux - Pousse Barbe - 540 Aiguilles

hero 3P COIFFURE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

768
≈ 75.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-20

AAAMG43083

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 348 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Derma Roller - GENERIC - 0.5 mm - Stimule Repousse Cheveux - Pousse Barbe - 540 Aiguilles · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 768 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (560 days of history, 789 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.09 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week9.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks41.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months111.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week24.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)127.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)348.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)8.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.1K