Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMF80695
Étagère - Plastique - 3 niveaux - Résistante - Anticorrosion - Imperméable
midtail
3P
RANGEMENT OUTILS - PORTE-OUTILS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-93.8%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)
Current stock
436
≈ 132.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAMF80695
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Étagère - Plastique - 3 niveaux - Résistante - Anticorrosion - Imperméable · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 436 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (567 days of history, 136 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.91 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 29.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 113.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |