Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMF75643
ASSOUPLISSANT CONCENTRÉ DOWNY LAVENDER&MUSK 1L
longtail
3P
ENTRETIEN DU LINGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
211
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-06-25
AAAMF75643
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ASSOUPLISSANT CONCENTRÉ DOWNY LAVENDER&MUSK 1L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 247 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (588 days of history, 13 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.45 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |