Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMF04840
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
108
≈ 31.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 92
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAAMF04840
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 154 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 108 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (623 days of history, 218 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.53 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 154.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.2K |