Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMF04840
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 22.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-53.3%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)
Current stock
241
≈ 65.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 90
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAMF04840
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -22.2% · on-hand 241 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (574 days of history, 236 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.49 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 46.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.5K |