Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMF04840
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 800.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
393
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
94
≈ 29.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 99
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-26
AAAMF04840
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 444 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Siffleuse - INOX - 3L - Design Moderne - Capacité Familiale - Pratique et Fonctionnelle · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +800.0% · on-hand 94 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (686 days of history, 212 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.54 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 124.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 443.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 43.8K |