Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAME74211
Casque VR Box – Lunettes 3D de Réalité Virtuelle Compatibles Android & iPhone
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-89.5%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAME74211
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque VR Box – Lunettes 3D de Réalité Virtuelle Compatibles Android & iPhone · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 187 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |