Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAME72415
Tondeuse à Cheveux et Barbe - KEMEI - KM-2293 - Électrique Rechargeable - Autonomie 180 min - Sans Fil Type-C
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
31
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 212
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAME72415
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse à Cheveux et Barbe - KEMEI - KM-2293 - Électrique Rechargeable - Autonomie 180 min - Sans Fil Type-C · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 50 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 77.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.5K |