Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAME61109
Charcoal toothpaste dentifrice au charbon actif réparation des dents blanchiment nettoyage soins dentaires - 100 g
longtail
3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
1,000
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 7 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAME61109
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 28 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Charcoal toothpaste dentifrice au charbon actif réparation des dents blanchiment nettoyage soins dentaires - 100 g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 1000 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (525 days of history, 3 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 28.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 779 |