Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMD80370
Boite tournevis magnétique 32 IN 1 outil de réparation électronique multi-usage Vert
longtail
3P
OUTIL A MAIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 225.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
82
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AAAMD80370
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boite tournevis magnétique 32 IN 1 outil de réparation électronique multi-usage Vert · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +225.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (693 days of history, 25 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 6.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 112.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.9K |