Demand Forecast

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Jouets d'apprentissage - Non spécifié - Machine à Lire - 224 mots - Cartes flash parlantes - 112 cartes
SKU · AAAMD59984

Jouets d'apprentissage - Non spécifié - Machine à Lire - 224 mots - Cartes flash parlantes - 112 cartes

longtail 3P JEUX DE SOCIETE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

8
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+60.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)

Current stock

35
≈ 22.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAAMD59984

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Jouets d'apprentissage - Non spécifié - Machine à Lire - 224 mots - Cartes flash parlantes - 112 cartes · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 35 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 102 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)24.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)68.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.9K