Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMC05809
Télécommande de climatisation A/C pour la plupart des climatiseurs
longtail
3P
GENIE THERMIQUE - CLIMATIQUE - CHAUFFAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
91
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-21
AAAMC05809
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Télécommande de climatisation A/C pour la plupart des climatiseurs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +57.1% · on-hand 91 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (567 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 70.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.7K |