Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMC04498
Jeu de 4 Tapis de Voiture Universels – PVC Haute Densité – Protection Totale – Noir
longtail
1P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
54
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
6
≈ 10.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 99
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAMC04498
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Jeu de 4 Tapis de Voiture Universels – PVC Haute Densité – Protection Totale – Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.44 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |