Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAMB37253
Boîte Intelligente pour Cake ou Pain – Couleur Aléatoire – 29 x 13 cm
longtail
3P
EMBALLAGE ALIMENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)
Current stock
84
≈ 44.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAMB37253
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 123 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte Intelligente pour Cake ou Pain – Couleur Aléatoire – 29 x 13 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 84 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.91 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 122.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |