Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMB24699
Essuie-tout maxi absorbant blanc x2 - MARJANE
longtail
3P
PAPIERS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
493
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-03-06
AAAMB24699
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Essuie-tout maxi absorbant blanc x2 - MARJANE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 493 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (441 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.1K |