Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMB17697
Set de 2 moules ovales (26 cm et 35 cm) simples et gravés + boîte en verre 400 ml (14,5 cm x 10,5 cm)
hero
1P
USTENSILES PATISSERIE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (58 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-31
AAAMB17697
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 522 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 2 moules ovales (26 cm et 35 cm) simples et gravés + boîte en verre 400 ml (14,5 cm x 10,5 cm) · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (511 days of history, 448 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 78.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 27.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 194.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 522.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.6K |