Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMB17249
Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire
hero
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
31
≈ stable (3.3% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
1
≈ 0.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-26
AAAMB17249
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 693 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 31 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (693 days of history, 604 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.70 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 31 units · prev 4w = 30 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 221.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 34.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 97.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 692.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.5K |