Demand Forecast

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Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire
SKU · AAAMB17249

Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire

hero 1P CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

14
▼ 65.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+366.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

81
≈ 8.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAAMB17249

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 314 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -65.0% · on-hand 81 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (574 days of history, 494 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.64 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 40 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week9.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks45.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months122.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week17.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)95.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)314.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)9.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 14.2K