Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMB17249
Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire
hero
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
22
▲ 22.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
63
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
63
≈ 6.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAMB17249
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 48 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Fresh Box 5 Pièces (0.45L x2 + 1L x1 + 1.20L x1 + 2.50L x1 ) - Couleur Aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending up +22.2% · on-hand 63 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (637 days of history, 541 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.68 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 47.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |