Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMA69769
Sachet de Conservation Sous Vide Un Rouleau de 5m x 20cm
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 97.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
83
≈ 80.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25
AAAMA69769
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sachet de Conservation Sous Vide Un Rouleau de 5m x 20cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -97.4% · on-hand 83 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 68 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |