Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMA63281
Tondeuse à cheveux - ORAIMO - OCL-210 - Sans fil - Acier inoxydable - Autonomie 2h
midtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 78.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+40.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
60
≈ 14.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 155
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAMA63281
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse à cheveux - ORAIMO - OCL-210 - Sans fil - Acier inoxydable - Autonomie 2h · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -78.8% · on-hand 60 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (567 days of history, 327 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 33 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 46.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.9K |