Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALY68014
Sac Sous Vide Alimentaire 50 Sachets 20 x 30 cm pour Machine sous vide alimentaire - Sacs à Faire le Vide d'air Gaufrés
midtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
59
▲ 84.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1375.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
9
≈ 2.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 38
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAALY68014
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 194 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac Sous Vide Alimentaire 50 Sachets 20 x 30 cm pour Machine sous vide alimentaire - Sacs à Faire le Vide d'air Gaufrés · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 59 units, trending up +84.4% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (553 days of history, 239 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.55 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 59 units · prev 4w = 32 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 27.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 61.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 71.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 194.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.5K |