Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALY60480
Câble Anker 322 USB-C vers Lightning – 1,8m – Charge Rapide PD & Ultra-Résistant
longtail
1P
CONNECTIQUE - ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▼ 22.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
25
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
25
≈ 22.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 137
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
AAALY60480
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 157 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Câble Anker 322 USB-C vers Lightning – 1,8m – Charge Rapide PD & Ultra-Résistant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending down -22.7% · on-hand 25 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (511 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 22.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 157.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 21.6K |