Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALY47715
Casque Bluetooth - Anker - Soundcore Life U2i - Noir - Étanche - Antibruit - Intra-auriculaire
longtail
1P + 3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
87
▲ 45.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
351
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
288
≈ 103.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 123
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAALY47715
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 349 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth - Anker - Soundcore Life U2i - Noir - Étanche - Antibruit - Intra-auriculaire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 87 units, trending up +45.0% · on-hand 288 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (700 days of history, 220 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.37 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 87 units · prev 4w = 60 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 148.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 58.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 349.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 43.0K |