Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALY47715
Casque Bluetooth - Anker - Soundcore Life U2i - Noir - Étanche - Antibruit - Intra-auriculaire
longtail
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 61.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
121
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
121
≈ 101.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 198
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAALY47715
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth - Anker - Soundcore Life U2i - Noir - Étanche - Antibruit - Intra-auriculaire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -61.5% · on-hand 161 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (637 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.0K |