Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALY47561
Mini enceinte Anker Soundcore Pyro - Noir
longtail
1P
AMPLIFICATEUR - ENCEINTES
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 47.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
32
≈ 18.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 132
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAALY47561
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 152 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini enceinte Anker Soundcore Pyro - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -47.1% · on-hand 51 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (644 days of history, 69 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.39 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 18.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 152.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.1K |