Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX90731
XIAOMI - Redmi Watch 5 Active Matte - Autonomie 12 jours - Gris
midtail
1P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
18
≈ 5.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 292
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAALX90731
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 130 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI - Redmi Watch 5 Active Matte - Autonomie 12 jours - Gris · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (644 days of history, 122 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 67.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 129.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 38.0K |