Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX73310
Epilateur-Rasoir multifonctions - Kemei - KM-6637 - Rechargeable - 4 en 1 - Rose
hero
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▼ 29.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
49
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 97
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAALX73310
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 382 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Epilateur-Rasoir multifonctions - Kemei - KM-6637 - Rechargeable - 4 en 1 - Rose · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending down -29.7% · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (644 days of history, 700 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 11.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 46.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 180.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 79.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 381.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 37.1K |