Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX73310
Epilateur-Rasoir multifonctions - Kemei - KM-6637 - Rechargeable - 4 en 1 - Rose
hero
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
40
▼ 51.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (20 units)
Current stock
58
≈ 4.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 99
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAALX73310
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 380 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Epilateur-Rasoir multifonctions - Kemei - KM-6637 - Rechargeable - 4 en 1 - Rose · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 40 units, trending down -51.8% · on-hand 58 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (588 days of history, 774 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 40 units · prev 4w = 83 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 19.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 69.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 164.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 30.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 141.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 380.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 12.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 37.8K |