Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX69177
Plateau en bois - 42,9x31,1 cm - Poignées en métal - Rectangulaire - Marron
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
26
≈ 20.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 132
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-08
AAALX69177
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plateau en bois - 42,9x31,1 cm - Poignées en métal - Rectangulaire - Marron · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (392 days of history, 72 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 16.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.0K |