Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX68927-0001
Chaussettes - Non spécifié - Pack de 12 - 100% Coton Bio - Multi-Couleur - Unisexes
hero
3P
SOUS-VETEMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 85.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-60.9%
vs same 4w last year (23 units)
Current stock
10
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAALX68927-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 309 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaussettes - Non spécifié - Pack de 12 - 100% Coton Bio - Multi-Couleur - Unisexes · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -85.5% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (574 days of history, 749 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.68 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 62 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 75.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 20.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 308.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.2K |