Demand Forecast

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Transmetteur FM Bluetooth - GENERIC - Chargeur USB Double 3.1A - Micro SD - Mains libres - Noir
SKU · AAALX68919

Transmetteur FM Bluetooth - GENERIC - Chargeur USB Double 3.1A - Micro SD - Mains libres - Noir

longtail 3P CAR AUDIO
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)

Current stock

9
≈ 5.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 47
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAALX68919

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Transmetteur FM Bluetooth - GENERIC - Chargeur USB Double 3.1A - Micro SD - Mains libres - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 9 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 99 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months25.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)22.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.1K