Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAALX68890
Transmetteur FM 2 USB -Micro Sd Radio voiture Lecteur MP3 sans fil dans la voiture Bluetooth
longtail
3P
CAR AUDIO
Last 4 weeks demand
7
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+40.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
4
≈ 2.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAALX68890
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 57 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Transmetteur FM 2 USB -Micro Sd Radio voiture Lecteur MP3 sans fil dans la voiture Bluetooth · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, stable demand · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (574 days of history, 91 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 18.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 56.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |