Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX12279
Tondeuse électrique - KEMEI - KM-3208 - Étanche - Charge USB - Autonomie 45 min
midtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
33
▲ 43.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
63
≈ 19.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 163
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAALX12279
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 158 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse électrique - KEMEI - KM-3208 - Étanche - Charge USB - Autonomie 45 min · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 33 units, trending up +43.5% · on-hand 63 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (588 days of history, 215 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.91 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 33 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 53.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 157.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.6K |