Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX10988
Balance de cuisine - Pratique - Électronique - Haute Précision - 10 kg - Tactile
midtail
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 44.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
82
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAALX10988
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Balance de cuisine - Pratique - Électronique - Haute Précision - 10 kg - Tactile · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -44.2% · on-hand 83 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (644 days of history, 292 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 43 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 30.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 98.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 171.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |