Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX10988
Balance de cuisine - Pratique - Électronique - Haute Précision - 10 kg - Tactile
midtail
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
27
▼ 60.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-20.6%
vs same 4w last year (34 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALX10988
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 201 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Balance de cuisine - Pratique - Électronique - Haute Précision - 10 kg - Tactile · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, trending down -60.9% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (588 days of history, 289 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 69 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 13.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 39.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 82.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 25.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 86.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 200.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.2K |