Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALX10982
Balance de cuisine Digital Carré Haute Précision Pratique 10kg-1g
longtail
3P
USTENSILES DE PESAGE - MESURE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-25.0%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 62
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALX10982
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Balance de cuisine Digital Carré Haute Précision Pratique 10kg-1g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (595 days of history, 162 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 33.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 122.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.6K |