Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALV94535
LED Light Strip 5M avec télécommande 12V, flexible
midtail
3P
COMPOSANTS OPTOELECTRONIQUES
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
99
≈ 29.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALV94535
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LED Light Strip 5M avec télécommande 12V, flexible · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 99 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (595 days of history, 240 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.2K |