Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALV67067
Set de 2 Serpilleres 60x50 cm aquamax - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
MATERIEL D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,155
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
62
≈ 67.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAALV67067
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 155 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 2 Serpilleres 60x50 cm aquamax - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 62 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.63 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |