Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALU76517
Rasoir jetable - Gillette - Blue 3 - Comfort - LubraStrip - Tête pivotante
longtail
1P
RASAGE - EPILATION
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
136
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
24
≈ 110.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-02
AAALU76517
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rasoir jetable - Gillette - Blue 3 - Comfort - LubraStrip - Tête pivotante · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (504 days of history, 8 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.31 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |