Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALU00808
ENSEMBLE 5 PCS D’USTENSILES EN BAMBOU 30X6CM X 5P
midtail
1P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
151
≈ 30.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25
AAALU00808
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ENSEMBLE 5 PCS D’USTENSILES EN BAMBOU 30X6CM X 5P · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 151 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (581 days of history, 261 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.19 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 119.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |